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Digest | Sep 29, 2023

Russia in Review, Sept. 22-29, 2023

Plus: Russia’s use of yuan for imports increased almost 21-fold
Post | Sep 29, 2023

Can Weather Predict Operational Tempo in Ukraine This Winter?

Speaking to BBC on Sept. 10, 2023, America’s outgoing chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff (JCS) Mark Milley predicted that the weather will continue to favor fighting in Ukraine until about Oct. 10-25. “There's still a reasonable amount of time, probably about 30 to 45 days' worth of fighting weather left, so the Ukrainians aren't done,” the general said. Milley, whose JCS role ends Oct. 1, could have a plausible weather forecast we do not have access to. Or he could be speaking from the experience of watching (and advising on one side) the Russian and Ukrainian forces as they battled each other last fall and winter. If so, does this very recent history (October 2022-February 2023) support the proposition that “Generals Mud and Frost” may force the Ukrainian and Russian forces to scale down combat and enter a seasonal stalemate? Here is what we have learned.
Post | Sep 26, 2023

The Russia-Ukraine War Report Card, Sept. 26, 2023

September 26 update: No significant territorial change. Zelensky said Ukraine's counteroffensive will not stop during winter and claimed Ukraine will liberate 3 more cities. Net territorial change in the past month: Russia +15 square miles.
Analysis | Sep 25, 2023

Azerbaijan Waited for Its Opening on Nagorno-Karabakh. This Week It Found It.

Armenia's pivot West was probably badly timed. It alienated the Russians without bringing reliable Western help.
Digest | Sep 25, 2023

Russia Analytical Report, Sept. 18-25, 2023

Digest | Sep 22, 2023

Russia in Review, Sept. 15-22, 2023

Analysis | Sep 22, 2023

A Country Living in Three Eras: Reflections on the 75th anniversary of the DPRK

Solovyov considers the Cold War, hegemony and the "grand narratives" underpinning Moscow-Pyongyang ties.
Analysis | Sep 19, 2023

William Burns on Russia

What has U.S. President-elect Joe Biden's pick for CIA director said on Russia? Check out our compilation for some of Burns' observations and policy ideas regarding Russia.
Event | Sep 19, 2023

Intelligence Sharing in Ukraine: Observations From a US Practitioner

Please join the Belfer Center’s Defense, Emerging Technology, and Strategy Program (DETS) for a seminar on “Intelligence Sharing in Ukraine: Observations from a U.S. Practitioner.”
Event | Sep 26, 2023

Ukraine’s Quest for Justice: A Conversation With Prosecutor General Andriy Kostin

Please join Carnegie President Tino Cuéllar for a conversation with Ukraine’s Prosecutor General, Andriy Kostin.
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