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Analysis | Feb 29, 2024
Aleksey Dyumin, Putin's former bodyguard and governor of the Tula oblast—which Dyumin has called Russia's "weapons capital"—will likely be one of the top contenders to succeed Putin thanks to his proximity to the Russian leader and his versatile experience.
Analysis | Dec 05, 2023
Enterprising and competent officials know full well they can survive without Putin. Whether the regime can survive without them, though, is another matter.
Analysis | Jul 23, 2023
The FSB is in favor of a hardline approach toward "angry patriots," especially figures like Strelkov, who is regarded as a nationalistic "Navalny."
Analysis | Jan 27, 2023
Despite his mastery of reductionist flattery and "unlimited devotion" to Putin, the speaker of the State Duma likely isn't a member of the Russian president's inner-most circle. Still, he may have a shot at the Kremlin when Putin steps down.
Analysis | Jan 04, 2023
Analysts believe the public metamorphosis is meant to keep the ex-president/ex-prime minister politically relevant and close to Russia's pro-war ruling elite.
Analysis | Dec 13, 2022
Russia is heading toward a final battle between the radicals, for whom escalation is a way of life, and the realists, who understand that continuing to up the ante could lead to their country’s collapse.
Analysis | Nov 03, 2022
The war has left Belarus in a predicament, which boils down to depending on Russia for everything without enjoying the advantages of being part of Russia.
Analysis | Oct 27, 2022
Selected quotes from Putin's Oct. 27 speech at the Valdai Discussion Club.
Analysis | Oct 07, 2022
Nikolai Patrushev, secretary of Russia’s Security Council, often comes up when discussion turns to possible Putin successors. Check out our compilation for some of his views on issues that impact important U.S. interests.
Analysis | Oct 05, 2022
Many volumes have been written on escalation control theories, but no one knows how to manage it.