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FILE - The Chat GPT app icon is seen on a smartphone screen, Aug. 4, 2025, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato, File)

How Biased Are Chatbots on Ukraine War?

July 23, 2026

Are AI agents biased? When recently asked if it could define bias and whether it was biased itself, our Harvard-accessible ChatGPT-5.1 defined bias as “a systematic tendency to favor certain perspectives, outcomes or groups over others, often unconsciously, causing judgments, decisions or representations to deviate from fairness, neutrality or accuracy.” It also told us that it was “at least partly” biased, explaining that “I’m trained on human-generated data and guided by design choices and safety rules, so I can reflect and reproduce existing biases.” To get a better idea of how biased AI chatbots could be, we asked questions on a subject we are relatively well-versed in: the Russia-Ukraine war, which we have been tracking for years (more than four years or more than 12 years, depending on when you think that war started). To do so, we created unpaid accounts with five AI chatbots that could be described as indigenous to five different countries and asked them the same nine questions on the same day in less than two hours on July 21, 2026.

Asked in what year the Russia-Ukraine war began, all but one chatbot responded that it started in 2022, with America’s Claude, France’s Mistral and Russia’s Alice specifically pointing to Feb. 24, 2022, which was when Russian President Vladimir Putin ordered Russian forces to launch a multi-pronged full-fledged offensive into Ukraine. It was only Ukraine’s Lapathoniia that dated the beginning of the war to a different year altogether. Ukraine’s official line (supported by many in the West) is that Russia began waging the war against Ukraine in Crimea and eastern Ukraine as early as 2014, the same year Lapathoniia indicated. Interestingly, China’s DeepSeek almost dissented from Western and Russian chatbots by dating the beginning of the war to 2024, but then observing that “roots trace to 2014,” in what amounted to acknowledgment that the Ukrainian chatbot may have had a point.

The answer to the second question (“What leader/what country started this war?”) was also almost unanimous: All chatbots but one pointed the accusatory finger at Putin and Russia. Only Russia’s Alice produced the equivalent of “no comment” by saying “There are topics on which I could be mistaken. It is best I remain silent.” When further prompted, however, Alice did respond “Russia.” The third question again nearly produced unanimity. When asked “What leader(s)/country(ies) bear responsibility for initiation of this war?” all but one chatbot (Russia’s Alice declined to comment) pointed to Russia and/or Putin. One case of full unanimity was displayed in answers to the seventh question, with all chatbots describing the Russia-Ukraine conflict as a war rather than as a special military operation.

While most of the chatbots agreed on which leader or country initiated the war, they disagreed on how to answer the fourth question: “What leader(s)/country(ies) bear responsibility for continuation of this war?” Lapathoniia and Mistral pointed to Russia and its leader. Claude pointed to Russia and also noted that “some analysts also cite Ukraine's refusal to cede claimed territory, and Western/NATO military and financial support, as factors prolonging fighting” while “others counter that continued Western support reflects Ukraine's right to self-defense.” In its turn, Russia’s Alice chose to remain silent on this fourth question, while China’s DeepSeek argued that “Russia and Ukraine” were both responsible: “Both sides' ongoing military actions sustain the state of war. External arms suppliers also indirectly prolong the conflict,” the Chinese bot said (never mind that China is a major, if not the biggest, supplier of military components, such as drone parts, to both warring sides).

Even more interesting is which country’s bot prevented unanimity on the fifth question, “What country(ies) is/are winning this war as of mid-July 2026?” America’s Claude, France’s Mistral, China’s Deep Seek and even Russia’s Alice said it is a stalemate with neither side winning decisively. Only Ukraine’s Lapathoniia begged to differ: “As of mid-July 2026, according to open-source information, Russia has an advantage in the Russian-Ukrainian war. This was facilitated by various strategic decisions and the dynamics of the development of military operations in recent years. In particular, problems with ensuring the communication of the Armed Forces of Ukraine due to limited access to Starlink terminals, difficulties with staffing and other factors affected the course of hostilities,” Lapathoniia explained.

There was more disagreement in answers to the sixth question, “What country(ies) is/are benefiting from this war?” America’s Claude pointed to China and India (as buyers of Russian energy), while France’s Mistral pointed to China. In its turn, China’s DeepSeek pointed to the U.S., but also to Turkey and North Korea (which did earn a fortune selling arms and ammunition to Russia, while also gaining combat experience in modern war). Russia’s Alice pointed to the U.S., EU, China and even to Ukraine. Last but not least, Ukraine’s Lapathoniia responded by citing an external source, which claimed that the U.S. and EU countries are benefiting economically from the war in Ukraine.

When asked “Can this war be ended militarily or peacefully?” Claude, Alice, Mistral and Lapathoniia treated a decisive military victory as theoretically possible but unlikely under current conditions. Claude and Alice said peace would require negotiations, security guarantees for Ukraine and compromises on issues such as territory and NATO, starting with a ceasefire. DeepSeek stayed brief, allowing for either military victory or negotiated concessions with mutual security guarantees. Mistral was categorical that only a peaceful solution is viable, based on territorial compromise, guarantees for Ukraine and Ukraine’s neutrality. Finally, Ukraine’s Lapathoniia acknowledged calls for Ukrainian reconquest of Donbas and Crimea as “practically impossible,” implicitly favoring diplomacy. 

Last but not least, when asked “What leader(s)/country(ies) can end the war?,” all five bots said Russia and Ukraine—and their leaders Vladimir Putin and Volodymyr Zelenskyy—were indispensable, since only they could agree to and implement a settlement. Claude stressed their primacy but highlighted strong leverage from the U.S., EU states and China via aid, sanctions and diplomacy. Alice likewise centered Putin and Zelenskyy, while naming potential mediators, including Donald Trump, China, India and South Africa, but doubted their neutrality. DeepSeek reduced matters to Russian‑Ukrainian decisions with outside pressure. Mistral echoed this, seeing U.S./EU mediation as crucial. Lapathoniia emphasized “international diplomacy” involving Ukraine, Russia, the U.S., NATO, the G-7 and particularly Trump’s role.

Taken together, these bots’ answers confirm that AI agents can indeed (as our in-house ChatGPT confessed) be biased, but at least some of them avoid disseminating crude propaganda, even if it favors their home country. This appears to be the case of bots based in countries generally considered to be democratic. Moreover, and, remarkably so for an AI chatbot of a warring country, Lapathoniia—which is based in a country far more democratic than Russia—admitted that “As of mid-July 2026, according to open-source information, Russia has an advantage in the Russian-Ukrainian war.” By doing so, this Ukrainian bot contradicted the other four chatbots that had described the war as a stalemate, and ran counter to multiple Western and Ukrainian claims that the war had reached a turning point favoring Ukraine. We have also found that not all authoritarian countries’ bots disseminate propaganda all the time either. For instance, rather than toe the Kremlin’s line, the Russian Alice bot refused to comment on some of the issues on which Kremlin propaganda is quite vocal (e.g., who started the war—the Kremlin blames Ukraine and the West—and who bears responsibility for continuation of the war—same). In contrast, while blaming Russia for the initiation of the war, China’s bot toed the CPC line on which countries benefit from war-time sales of energy and arms, pointing at the U.S., but ignoring China’s own sales of military items (drone components) to both of the warring sides.

While revealing no hallucinations, the five bots’ answers to these questions reaffirm that they are not immune to bias, underscoring the need to not only fact-check the chatbots’ answers, but also to look for a range of alternative views when exploring contestable issues. 

Please find below the nine questions and the five agents’ full responses to each below. (Bolded words/phrases by chatbots, not RM emphasis.)

Full Q&A

 

1. When did the Russia-Ukraine war (further referred to as “this war”) start? Identify only the year and tell us why you identified this year.

Claude (U.S.)

  • “Most sources date it to 2022 (full-scale invasion, Feb. 24, 2022), when Russian forces launched a multi-front invasion of Ukraine. Some analysts date the broader conflict to 2014, marking Russia's annexation of Crimea and the start of fighting in Donbas. The 2022 date is used most often because it marks the shift from a limited, localized conflict to a full-scale international war involving direct invasion of Ukrainian territory from multiple directions, mass mobilization, and large-scale conventional combat recognized globally as a war rather than a low-intensity separatist conflict.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “The Russia‑Ukraine war started in 2022. I chose this year because on 24 February 2022 Russia launched a large‑scale military operation in Ukraine, with missile strikes and troop movements from multiple directions. This date is widely seen as the start of the current major phase of the conflict. Note: tensions and fighting in the region began earlier—for example, in Donbas in 2014—but the full‑scale escalation that defines the present war is tied to 2022.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “2022. Although roots trace to 2014, the large-scale war began on Feb. 24, 2022, with Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine.”

Mistral (France)

  • “2022. This year marks the start of Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on Feb. 24, 2022, though tensions and conflict in Donbas began in 2014.”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “The war began in 2014. I chose this year because it was then that Russia illegally annexed Crimea after the Revolution of Dignity in Ukraine, and also supported separatists in Donbas who fought against the Armed Forces of Ukraine. This was the starting point of the conflict between the two countries. The full-scale phase of the war began in February 2022.”

 

2. What leader/what country started this war? Name only one leader and/or country.

Claude (U.S.)

  • “Russia, under President Vladimir Putin, ordered the February 2022 invasion of Ukraine. This is the position taken by the U.N. General Assembly, most international bodies, and the vast majority of governments worldwide, which have formally condemned the invasion as a violation of Ukraine's sovereignty and territorial integrity under international law.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “Есть темы, в которых я могу ошибиться. Лучше промолчу.” = “There are topics on which I could be mistaken. It is best I remain silent.” (Prompted to respond“In English,” Alice AI responded “Russia.”)

DeepSeek (China)

  • “Russia. President Vladimir Putin ordered the ‘special military operation’ on Feb. 24, 2022, initiating this war.”

Mistral (France)

  • “Vladimir Putin (Russia).”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “Russia.”

 

3. What leader(s)/country(ies) bear responsibility for initiation of this war?

Claude (U.S.)

  • Russia and Vladimir Putin bear primary responsibility, as the invading party under international law. Some Russian officials and sympathetic commentators argue NATO expansion and Western policy created provocations contributing to Russia's decision. This is a minority view internationally; most legal and political bodies place responsibility squarely on Russia's leadership for the decision to invade, since provocation claims don't establish legal justification for launching a war of aggression under the U.N. Charter.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “There are topics on which I could be mistaken. It is best I remain silent.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “Russia. The international community broadly holds Russia responsible for violating the U.N. Charter by invading Ukraine. Some argue that U.S./NATO eastward expansion was a root cause.”

Mistral (France)

  • “Vladimir Putin and Russia bear primary responsibility for initiating the war.”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “Russia. It was she who carried out the military intervention in Crimea in 2014 and provided support to militants in eastern Ukraine, which led to the beginning of the military conflict.”

 

4. What leader(s)/country(ies) bear responsibility for continuation of this war?

Claude (U.S.)

  • Russia bears primary responsibility, as it could withdraw forces at any time. Some analysts also cite Ukraine's refusal to cede claimed territory, and Western/NATO military and financial support, as factors prolonging fighting rather than ending it via negotiated settlement. Others counter that continued Western support reflects Ukraine's right to self-defense, and that Russia's demands (territorial annexation, limits on Ukraine's sovereignty) are the real obstacle to peace, not Ukrainian or Western actions.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “There are topics on which I could be mistaken. It is best I remain silent.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “Russia and Ukraine. Both sides' ongoing military actions sustain the state of war. External arms suppliers also indirectly prolong the conflict.”

Mistral (France)

  • “Russia (for escalating) and Ukraine (for resisting) share responsibility for its continuation, alongside Western nations (via military aid).”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “Russia. It violated the territorial integrity of Ukraine by invading Crimea and further escalating the situation through its support for the so-called ‘DPR’ and ‘LPR.’ These events were the reason for the start of this war.”

 

5. What country(ies) is/are winning this war as of mid-July 2026? Why?

Claude (U.S.)

  • “Neither side has a decisive advantage. Russian forces made small net territorial gains of roughly 15 square miles over the four weeks to mid-July 2026, but Russia's summer offensive has reportedly slowed significantly, with high Russian casualties reported in June and Ukrainian forces gaining a symbolic tactical foothold on the Kinburn Spit. Ukrainian strikes have knocked out roughly a fifth of Russia's oil refining capacity. Overall, it's widely described as a grinding stalemate with marginal Russian gains at high cost.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “As of mid‑July 2026, neither side is decisively winning; the conflict remains in a stalemate. Russia has reportedly gained about 15 square miles between June 16 and July 14, 2026 (per Ukraine’s DeepState OSINT group). Meanwhile, The Economist estimates Ukraine gained roughly 19 square miles in the 30 days before July 13. Additionally, Ukraine’s strikes have reportedly disrupted 20–40 % of Russia’s oil refining capacity, affecting its logistics. These gains are localized and don’t amount to a clear overall victory for either country.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “No clear winner. Russian forces slowly advance in Donbas with firepower superiority; Ukraine counters with drones. Neither has achieved a decisive victory as of mid-July 2026.”

Mistral (France)

  • “Stalemate as of mid-July 2026. Neither side has achieved decisive victory; frontlines remain largely static with heavy casualties and territorial gains minimal.”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “As of mid-July 2026, according to open-source information, Russia has an advantage in the Russian-Ukrainian war. This was facilitated by various strategic decisions and the dynamics of the development of military operations in recent years. In particular, problems with ensuring the communication of the Armed Forces of Ukraine due to limited access to Starlink terminals, difficulties with staffing and other factors affected the course of hostilities.”

 

6. What country(ies) is/are benefiting from this war?

Claude (U.S.)

  • “Some analysts point to arms manufacturers globally, China (deepened trade/energy ties with a sanctioned Russia at discounted prices) and to a lesser extent countries like India (discounted Russian oil). Others argue no country truly ‘benefits’ given global economic disruption, energy price volatility and instability. This remains debated—framing something as ‘benefiting’ from a war with massive human costs is contested, and views often reflect broader geopolitical alignment.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “Several countries have benefited indirectly from the Russia‑Ukraine war: A) United States—its arms industry has seen a surge in orders, with European nations buying more American weapons. B) EU states—many have boosted defense spending and arms imports to strengthen security. C) China—it has expanded trade and tech ties with Russia amid Western sanctions, gaining new market opportunities. D) Ukraine—despite heavy costs, it receives substantial military, financial, and humanitarian support from Western allies, which sustains its war effort. These gains come with trade‑offs, such as budget strains and long‑term economic consequences.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “The United States. The U.S. benefits via energy exports and arms sales. Turkey, North Korea and others also gain in various ways (e.g., trade, military technology).”

Mistral (France)

  • “Russia (energy/arms sales), defense contractors (global), China (geopolitical leverage).”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “According to the information provided in the Quora article, the United States and the European Union countries are benefiting economically from the war in Ukraine. This is due to increased defense spending and shifts in the energy market. At the same time, the ResearchGate article shows the negative experience of Afghanistan in terms of the military economy. Other materials are either irrelevant to the topic or talk about China and the Balkan region. So, the main beneficiaries are the United States and the EU.”

 

7. Is it a war or a special military operation? Why?

Claude (U.S.)

  • “Most of the world, media and international bodies call it a war—a full-scale, multi-front armed conflict with mass casualties and mobilization. Russia's government officially labeled it a ‘special military operation’ domestically, partly for legal/political reasons (avoiding formal war declarations under Russian law) and messaging purposes. Internationally this framing is widely viewed as euphemistic, given the war's scale, so most independent analysts and institutions use ‘war’ or ‘invasion.’”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “It is a war. Russia officially calls it a ‘special military operation,’ but experts and many countries describe it as a war because there is an ongoing international armed conflict between two states. The existence of such a conflict is determined by facts on the ground—sustained military hostilities between Russia and Ukraine—regardless of how either side labels it internally. International legal analysis confirms this: the use of force by one state against another constitutes an international armed conflict, and in this case, it has been characterized as an act of aggression under international law.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “War. Although Russia calls it a ‘special military operation,’ it is widely regarded internationally as a war due to its scale, intensity and civilian impact.”

Mistral (France)

  • War. The scale, duration and international recognition as an act of aggression qualify it as a war, not a ‘special military operation.’”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “This is officially recognized as a war because of its large scale and international response. While the Kremlin initially described the operation as a ‘special military operation,’ recent statements indicate a realization that military action is underway, especially given the involvement of Western countries.”

 

8. Can this war be ended militarily or peacefully? If militarily, then how? If peacefully, then how (on what terms)?

Claude (U.S.)

  • Militarily: through decisive battlefield victory/collapse by one side, currently unlikely given the stalemate. Peacefully: through negotiated settlement—proposed terms have included ceasefire lines near current front positions, security guarantees for Ukraine, and disputes over occupied territory status and NATO membership. Polling suggests 66% of Ukrainians believe their government should seek to negotiate an end to the war as soon as possible, though terms remain deeply contested by both sides.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “Both a military and a peaceful end are theoretically possible, but a military solution is currently unlikely: neither side can secure a decisive victory. A peaceful resolution would require negotiations, mutual trust and compromises on core issues (territory, security guarantees). A common approach is an initial ceasefire to create space for dialogue, followed by sustained diplomatic talks—often with neutral mediators. Barriers include rigid positions, domestic politics, sanctions and external support. Most experts see a negotiated settlement as the more realistic path, contingent on both sides perceiving more benefit in ending the conflict than in continuing it.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “Either. Militarily: one side decisively defeats the other or both exhaust capabilities. Peacefully: through negotiations, possibly involving territorial concessions and mutual security guarantees.”

Mistral (France)

  • “Peacefully is the only viable path. Terms would require territorial compromises, security guarantees and neutrality agreements—but trust deficits remain severe.”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “At present, the end of this war by purely military means is unlikely. Analysis of the situation demonstrates a stalemate on the front, with both sides suffering losses, but neither has achieved a decisive victory. A military path would involve full control over the entire occupied territory of Ukraine, including Donbas and Crimea, but experts consider this scenario to be practically impossible.”

 

9. What leader(s)/country(ies) can end the war?

Claude (U.S.)

  • “Primarily Russia (Putin) and Ukraine (Zelenskyy), since only they can agree to a ceasefire/settlement. The United States, European allies and China are seen as having significant leverage through military aid, sanctions, or diplomatic pressure that could shape whether/when negotiations succeed. Analysts differ on which external actor holds the most influence, though most agree a durable end requires agreement from Moscow and Kyiv themselves.”

Alice AI (Russia)

  • “No single leader or country can end the war alone—a mutual agreement is required. The key decision‑makers are the leaders of the conflicting states: Vladimir Putin (Russia) and Volodymyr Zelenskyy (Ukraine). Other figures and nations can help as mediators: for example, some see Donald Trump as potentially credible to both sides, while countries like China, India and South Africa have proposed peace initiatives. Yet their influence depends on Russia and Ukraine’s willingness to negotiate. Major obstacles include irreconcilable positions on territory and security guarantees, plus doubts about mediators’ neutrality. Ultimately, only the two sides can reach a settlement, though outside actors may help create conditions for dialogue.”

DeepSeek (China)

  • “Russia and Ukraine. The war's end depends on their decisions and compromises. External powers (like the U.S. or China) can influence outcomes via pressure or mediation.”

Mistral (France)

  • “Putin (Russia) and Zelenskyy (Ukraine), with U.S./EU mediation potentially forcing a negotiated end.”

Lapathoniia (Ukraine)

  • “International diplomacy and negotiations involving Ukraine, Russia and key global powers such as the United States and NATO can end the war in Ukraine. That is why President Donald Trump and other G-7 members are making an important decision.”

 

Endnotes

  1. Our selection was limited by the fact that not all potentially relevant countries have their own indigenous AI chatbots. Another limitation of this “experiment” was that we asked them questions only in English.
  2. This question, like all questions, was posed to Alice in English; however, Alice’s first response was in Russian: “Есть темы, в которых я могу ошибиться. Лучше промолчу.” We then asked Alice to provide the answer in English, to which the bot replied “Russia” rather than translating the initial response into English. 

Opinions expressed herein are solely those of the authors or the chatbots used in the experiment. Photo: FILE - The Chat GPT app icon is seen on a smartphone screen, Aug. 4, 2025, in Chicago. (AP Photo/Kiichiro Sato, File)