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Analysis | Dec 13, 2022
Russia is heading toward a final battle between the radicals, for whom escalation is a way of life, and the realists, who understand that continuing to up the ante could lead to their country’s collapse.
Analysis | Nov 04, 2022
When a diplomatic solution to the war in Ukraine finally becomes possible, members of Congress will be wary of endorsing it, even if it enjoys Kyiv's tacit support.
Analysis | Nov 03, 2022
The war has left Belarus in a predicament, which boils down to depending on Russia for everything without enjoying the advantages of being part of Russia.
Analysis | Oct 27, 2022
Selected quotes from Putin's Oct. 27 speech at the Valdai Discussion Club.
Analysis | Oct 26, 2022
This paper assesses both the immediate economic impact and the likely longer-term impact of sanctions on the Russian economy.
Analysis | Oct 21, 2022
In this interview with Fyodor Lukyanov, Harvard political scientist and expert on the Cuban missile crisis Graham Allison says the sides have escalated far enough.
Analysis | Oct 13, 2022
Russian President Vladimir Putin sees Ukraine as part of Russia’s rightful sphere of influence, but because of his invasion, that sphere of influence is contracting.
Analysis | Oct 10, 2022
History demonstrates that the leader who starts a costly, protracted war is rarely willing to end the war short of victory—but history also shows that leadership change does not always facilitate peace.
Analysis | Oct 05, 2022
Many volumes have been written on escalation control theories, but no one knows how to manage it.
Analysis | Oct 03, 2022
What do Biden and his national security team know that makes them take Putin’s nuclear threat so seriously?
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