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Analysis | Jun 12, 2024
Our research shows that in terms of age, Putin is not an outlier among Russia’s rulers of the past century nor among the present rulers of some of Russia’s peers, allies and adversaries.
Analysis | Feb 24, 2023
Three factors are likely to have contributed to shaping Putin’s decision to launch the invasion one year ago.
Analysis | Feb 22, 2023
The main question now: How far will the escalation go?
Analysis | Nov 10, 2022
The Russian leader’s loose talk on nukes even has Russia’s long-term strategic partners such as India and China worried.
Analysis | Sep 29, 2022
The collective West is right to take Putin’s nuclear threats seriously, but efforts to dissuade him require the pro-active involvement of China and India.
Analysis | Aug 29, 2022
A recent New York Times article claims Odesa is “Putin’s obsession.” But is there any evidence to support this big idea?
Analysis | Aug 12, 2022
One overlooked aim of the war in Ukraine is Putin's attempt to speed up a clean break from a “declining” West, so that Russia can blossom as a separate civilization in alignment with the “great civilization” of a “rising” China.
Analysis | Jul 29, 2022
To make the facts fit his assessment, he must disregard Russia’s own pronouncements, its brutality and the security imperatives of its neighbors.
Analysis | Jun 23, 2022
A presidential adviser representing Russia at talks with Ukraine once claimed that historical truth is spurious and one must believe in facts that are beneficial to Russia. Putin clearly agrees.
Analysis | Jun 16, 2022
Our review of 22 years of official statements makes it clear that, typically, Putin has publicly signaled shifts in his views on Ukraine before translating them into policy.