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Analysis | May 04, 2022

Why Hasn’t Russia Unleashed ‘Cybergeddon’ in Its War on Ukraine?

Some experts say expectations of cyber apocalypse have been overblown, while others argue Russia has already done plenty of cyber damage. Check out our compilation for what Russia’s use (and non-use) of cyber means in the war on Ukraine.
Analysis | Apr 20, 2022

Survey: What Would a Le Pen Presidency Mean for France’s Policy Toward Russia?

The nationalist firebrand who has recently "put water in her vodka" and considerably toned down her anti-EU rhetoric is well known for cultivating warm ties with Vladimir Putin's Russia.
Analysis | Mar 12, 2022

Is a Ceasefire Agreement Possible? A Negotiation Analysis of the Russia-Ukraine War

Putin’s goal seems to be to convince Ukraine that it is better off with an unfavorable agreement on Russia’s terms than with a terrible alternative —the complete destruction of Ukraine.
Analysis | Feb 25, 2022

Decoding Putin’s Speeches: The Three Ideological Lines of Russia’s Military Intervention in Ukraine

Putin's Feb. 21 and Feb. 24 speeches have confirmed the construction of a narrative legitimizing the military intervention in Ukraine along three key ideological lines: a historical one, an ethnic one and a political one.
Analysis | Feb 17, 2022

5 Polls That Contextualize the Russia-Ukraine Crisis

Surveys by the Levada Center help uncover a nuanced range of Russian viewpoints and shed light on complex tensions that have persisted since Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014.
Analysis | Feb 09, 2022

NATO or Bust: Why Do Ukraine’s Leaders Dismiss Neutrality as a Security Strategy?

Prominent U.S. thinkers have said a neutral status for Ukraine could defuse the crisis with Russia. Elites in Kyiv disagree. Here are their top concerns, which proponents of neutrality will have to address.
Analysis | Feb 03, 2022

Non-Aggressors With Benefits: Russia-China Alignment Won’t Be Game-Changed by Ukraine or Much Else

The relationship rests on a mutual commitment to not threatening one another’s important interests, allowing each government to focus on its strategic aims.
Analysis | Jan 27, 2022

Parsing the Evidence: Will Russia Invade Ukraine?

With reams of analysis written to answer this question, we summarize a handful of experts who have backed their assertions with abundant research.
Analysis | Jan 20, 2022

Breaking the Impasse Between Russia and the West Over European Security

Compromises by the West—including a lengthy moratorium on NATO expansion—can ensure that competition with Moscow proceeds in a way that minimizes the risk of catastrophic military conflict.
Analysis | Jan 06, 2022

For Russia and US, National Security Must Be Embedded in Mutual Security

The clash around Ukraine is over competing rights, not merely conflicting interests, and any solution depends on incentives (rather than disincentives) and a rebuilding of trust.
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