Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
report

Lessons from Russia's Operations in Crimea and Eastern Ukraine

Michael Kofman, Katya Migacheva, Brian Nichiporuk, Andrew Radin, Olesya Tkacheva and Jenny Oberholtzer May 01, 2017 Recommended Reads
Russia's military operation in 2014 to annex Crimea was a decisive and competent use of military force, while its campaign in the eastern part of Ukraine was ineffectually implemented but achieved its aim: political fragmentation of the country.
policy brief

Russia’s New Conventional Capability: Implications for Eurasia and Beyond

Nikolai Sokov May 01, 2017 Recommended Reads
Russia’s new conventional-strike capability is significant for the West, whether or not the West wants to acknowledge it.
article

Russia and America Don’t Need Each Other as Enemies

Paul Saunders April 27, 2017 RM Exclusives
The idea that they do is as dangerous as it is convenient.
explainer

Russian Defense Spending: Tricky Math

Olga Oliker April 26, 2017 RM Exclusives
With Russia flexing its military muscle, analysts are increasingly interested in how much Moscow is spending on weapons. This explainer lays out the factors that make those numbers hard to crunch.
article

Ukraine Between Russia and the West Buffer or Flashpoint?

Thomas Graham, Rajan Menon and Jack Snyder April 24, 2017 Partner Posts
Ukraine's domestic turmoil and relations with Russia, the U.S., and Europe may not make it an ideal candidate for a buffer state, but that outcome could be better than the other alternatives.
article

Russia Looks Out for Own Interests in Europe’s Elections But Risks Long-Term Blowback

Yuval Weber April 19, 2017 RM Exclusives
Liberals worry about Russian meddling in elections from France to Bulgaria. But Moscow didn’t create Euro-skepticism; it's just good at exploiting existing fissures in Western societies—and has been for a long time. Here's where that may lead.
article

The Ukraine Crisis: Why Everyone Loses

Samuel Charap and Timothy J. Colton April 18, 2017 Partner Posts
As the conflict in eastern Ukraine approaches its fourth year, with nearly 10,000 dead so far, the authors consider how we’ve gotten to where we are and call for a radically different approach to resolution.
event summary

25 Years of US-Russia Relations: What Went Wrong and Can It Go Right?

RM Staff April 14, 2017 RM Exclusives
A quarter century after the Soviet collapse, bilateral tensions are higher than hoped. Here, a score of esteemed Russia watchers explore the lessons learned, the role of diplomatic and commercial ties and the prospects for improvement.
article

Tillerson in Moscow: A Welcome Return to Reality

Nikolas K. Gvosdev April 13, 2017 RM Exclusives
The U.S. secretary of state's visit to Moscow should mark the end of fantastical assumptions in both countries and the start of a sober, pragmatic process to root relations in a firm foundation.
article

5 Conservative Principles for Dealing With Russia

William Tobey April 12, 2017 Partner Posts
Reestablishing a rough consensus on principles to guide American relations with Russia is a high foreign policy priority.
article

Tom Friedman Is Calling for a Partition of Syria: Trump Should Run the Other Way

Stephen M. Walt April 07, 2017 Recommended Reads
Sending U.S. troops into Syria is not a solution. After all, the U.S. does not have the best track record when it comes to intervention in the Middle East.
article

Valdai Paper #64: Into the Unknown: US-Russian Relations Unhinged

Robert Legvold April 07, 2017 Partner Posts
If the larger picture defies prediction, the immediate future is scarcely more transparent.