Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
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Unintended Escalation: 5 Lessons From Israel for the Russia-NATO Standoff

Dmitry (Dima) Adamsky February 14, 2018 RM Exclusives
For the past few years, Western planners have been girding for Russian aggression. Ironically, this has raised the likelihood of an unplanned war. Israel has fought such wars and has important lessons to offer the U.S. and Russia.
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US Approach to Russia in New Nuclear Posture Review Risks Boosting Chances of Conflict

Jon Wolfsthal February 02, 2018 RM Exclusives
Instead of using trusted tools to manage our countries’ high-risk frictions, the new NPR seems to pursue the one thing that failed to make America and its allies safer in the Cold War: a nuclear arms race.
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Why Did the Trump Administration Pass the Buck on Sanctioning Russia?

David Szakonyi February 01, 2018 RM Exclusives
This week the U.S. executive branch rejected a Congressional mandate to punish Moscow with additional sanctions. What happened and what does it portend for future U.S. policy toward Russia?
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US-Russia-Turkey Dynamics in Syria After ‘Olive Branch’: One Door Closes, Another Opens

Oksana Antonenko January 26, 2018 RM Exclusives
Ankara’s Afrin offensive has exposed Moscow’s vulnerabilities in Syria and hurt Russia’s chances for casting itself as the lead player in clinching a peace deal. But it also opens a new door for tactical U.S.-Russian cooperation to keep the peace in northern Syria.
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Contrary to Expectations, US-Russian Relations Deteriorate Under President Trump

Thomas Graham January 18, 2018 RM Exclusives
One might think the relationship has nowhere to go but up. But the omens suggest otherwise, that relations will continue to deteriorate, as Trump begins his second year in office.
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The Balkans Between Russia and the West

Dimitar Bechev November 22, 2017 RM Exclusives
Russia and the West are not locked in a life-and-death battle over the Balkans. The region is just a vulnerable periphery where Moscow can exert influence as part of a broader contest with the U.S and the EU.
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Russian Military Buildup in the West: Fact Versus Fiction

Michael Kofman September 07, 2017 RM Exclusives
Until 2014 Russia was largely cutting the number of troops on NATO's borders to move them elsewhere. The war with Ukraine changed that, reawakening Moscow to the possibility of a large-scale war on its western front.
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Snapshot Analysis: Trump, NATO, Russia

Nikolas K. Gvosdev May 26, 2017 RM Exclusives
The U.S. president has left officials in Brussels, Moscow and even Washington guessing whether there has been a fundamental shift in how the White House sees NATO’s focus and mission.
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A Strategy for (Modestly Increasing the Chance of) Saving the INF Treaty

James M. Acton May 11, 2017 RM Exclusives
While it’s highly unlikely that Russia will return to compliance with the INF Treaty, the U.S. should make every effort to save the agreement by creating three realities that Moscow can’t ignore.
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Dealing with Russia and Drawing Red Lines

Steven Pifer March 09, 2017 RM Exclusives
With new NATO deployments in Central and Eastern Europe, a former U.S. diplomat to the region considers America’s red lines vis-à-vis Russia: What should they be and how to enforce them?
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INF, New Start and What Really Matters for US-Russian Nuclear Arms Control

Hans M. Kristensen February 24, 2017 RM Exclusives
The U.S. should not abandon nuclear arms control or relieve Russia from treaty obligations. Instead, it must maintain strategic stability with a mix of arms control and a safe, secure retaliatory capability.
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A Strategic Response to the Russian Hacking Affair

Rolf Mowatt-Larssen December 22, 2016 RM Exclusives
The response to Russia’s alleged hacking must not be hasty. The whole affair may even help craft some much needed rules of the cyber game—but only if we keep a realistic view of Russia’s perspective.
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