Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
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Biden’s Dangerous New Ukraine Endgame: No Endgame

Michael Hirsh April 28, 2022 Recommended Reads
"Putin has year by year reintroduced nuclear weapons into his conventional war calculations. … Yet Putin has never come this close to threatening to use them, nor has he made clear if or how he might do so," the author writes.
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Would Putin’s Russia Really Nuke Ukraine?

Graham Allison April 22, 2022 Recommended Reads
If a nuclear strike killed 10,000 or 20,000 innocent Ukrainians, how would the United States or NATO respond?
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The Cyber-Escalation Fallacy

Erica D. Lonergan April 15, 2022 Recommended Reads
For all its potential to disrupt companies, hospitals and utility grids during peacetime, cyberpower is much harder to use against targets of strategic significance or to achieve outcomes with decisive impacts on the battlefield or during crises short of war.
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Do People in Donbas Want to Be ‘Liberated’ by Russia?

John O’Loughlin, Gerard Toal and Gwendolyn Sasse April 15, 2022 Recommended Reads
In January 2022, the authors conducted a large, computer-assisted telephone public opinion survey of people living in the two regions on both sides of the military line of contact.
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The Ukraine Temptation

Stephen Wertheim April 12, 2022 Recommended Reads
Biden should reject a cold war strategy of dividing the world and keeping one half dependent on the United States.
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How Silent Assent Made Bucha Possible

Andrei Kolesnikov April 07, 2022 Recommended Reads
Those who approve or stay silent bear, at the very least, collective responsibility for what is happening in their own country and what the state is doing.
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The Toll of Economic War: How Sanctions on Russia Will Upend the Global Order

Nicholas Mulder March 23, 2022 Recommended Reads
The economic offensive against Russia has already exposed one important new reality: The era of costless, risk-free and predictable sanctions is well and truly over, the author writes.
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How to Make Peace With Putin

Thomas Graham and Rajan Menon March 21, 2022 Recommended Reads
The West must move quickly to end the war in Ukraine.
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Hot Take: Russian Forces Likely to Focus on Eastern Ukraine This Week, Next Chapter of War ‘Could Prove Even Uglier’

Michael Kofman March 20, 2022 Recommended Reads
Moscow is searching for something it can use to declare a victory. Taking the Donbas, and having leverage to attain concessions from Kyiv, is probably what it’s looking to accomplish at this point.
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The False Promise of Arming Insurgents

Lindsey O'Rourke March 18, 2022 Recommended Reads
America’s spotty record warrants caution in Ukraine.
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Strategic Folly in Ukraine: A War That Putin Cannot Win

Lawrence Freedman March 03, 2022 Recommended Reads
From the start, the Russian campaign has been hampered by political objectives that cannot be translated into meaningful military objectives.
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The West Is Sleepwalking Into War in Ukraine

Stephen M. Walt February 23, 2022 Recommended Reads
It’s not easy to make sense of how the United States and Europe are responding to Russia’s aggression.