Analysis

This listing contains all the analytical materials posted on the Russia Matters website. These include: RM Exclusives, commissioned by Russia Matters exclusively for this website; Recommended Reads, deemed particularly noteworthy by our editorial team; Partner Posts, originally published by our partners elsewhere; and Future Policy Leaders, pieces by promising young scholars and policy thinkers. Content can be filtered by genre and subject-specific criteria and is updated often. Gradually we will be adding older Recommended Reads and Partner Posts dating back as far as 2011.
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Alternate Reality: How Russian Society Learned to Stop Worrying About the War

Denis Volkov and Andrei Kolesnikov November 28, 2023 Partner Posts
Many Russians equate their country with the political regime that rules it, and believe it is their duty to support the state’s actions. This belief and the limited impact the war in Ukraine has had on the day-to-day lives of most Russians go some way to explaining continuing high levels of support for the war among Russians.
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Nuclear weapons, AI and the June 1980 US False Alarms

Pavel Podvig November 19, 2023 Partner Posts
Artificial Intelligence (AI) and its potentially dangerous link to nuclear weapons is a quite popular topic these days. Some of it is because nobody really knows what the role of AI can be. It is a (relatively) new and quite exciting technology and it seems to offer some benefits in assessing complex situations.
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Joe Biden: The U.S. Won’t Back Down from the Challenge of Putin and Hamas

Joe Biden November 18, 2023 Partner Posts
Today, the world faces an inflection point, where the choices we make — including in the crises in Europe and the Middle East — will determine the direction of our future for generations to come.
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Redefining Success in Ukraine

Richard Haass and Charles Kupchan November 17, 2023 Partner Posts
A New Strategy Must Balance Means and Ends.
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It’s Time to End Magical Thinking About Russia’s Defeat

Eugene Rumer and Andrew S. Weiss November 16, 2023 Partner Posts
Putin has withstood the West’s best efforts to reverse his invasion of Ukraine, and his hold on power is firm. The U.S. and its allies need a new strategy: containment.
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Living in an à la Carte World: What European Policymakers Should Learn from Global Public Opinion

Timothy Garton Ash, Ivan Krastev and Mark Leonard November 15, 2023 Partner Posts
Leaders in Europe and the United States often frame the 21st century world as a rivalry between competing ideological and political systems. They talk of winning over the ‘global south’ to the West and shoring up the rules-based order against its challengers.
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Avoiding World War III: What the Joe Biden-Xi Jinping Summit Is Really About

Graham T. Allison November 14, 2023 Partner Posts
What is the significance of the Biden-Xi summit on Wednesday? In one line: two adult leaders engaging in serious, candid, private conversation about the most consequential bilateral relationship in the world.
interview

Stephen Hadley on the Major Challenges Facing the United States Today

Stephen J. Hadley and Dr. Karen Donfried November 14, 2023 Partner Posts
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Putin Wants Russia to Win the Artificial Intelligence Race. Here’s Why it Won’t

Ben Dubow November 14, 2023 Partner Posts
“Whoever leads in AI will rule the world,” President Vladimir Putin declared at an address commencing the 2017 Russian school year. Six years later, despite intense focus from senior leadership and heavy investment from the federal budget and state-owned enterprises, Russia remains a laggard in this field, hobbled by international isolation and structural challenges.
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AI and Nuclear Command, Control and Communications: P5 perspectives

Alice Saltini November 13, 2023 Partner Posts
As the nuclear-weapons states, China, France, Russia, the United Kingdom and the United States, are increasingly recognising the implications of integrating AI into nuclear weapons command, control and communication systems, this report – by ELN Research Coordinator Alice Saltini – explores the risks inherent in today’s advanced AI systems, sheds light on characteristics and risks across different branches of this technology and establishes the basis for a general purpose risk assessment framework.
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Break Point: Scenarios and Regional Implications of the Russo-Ukrainian War

Balázs Jarábik October 23, 2023 Partner Posts
Following Russia’s full-scale aggression against Ukraine, ongoing for almost 600 days with no prospect of a peaceful resolution, Europe is at a geographic breaking point.
policy brief

Advancing in Adversity: Ukraine’s Battlefield Technologies and Lessons for the U.S.

Grace Jones, Janet Egan and Eric Rosenbach July 31, 2023 Partner Posts
Ukraine’s use of modified commercial aerial and naval drones, new satellite and artificial intelligence capabilities and social media has given Ukraine an edge which has implications for current and future conflicts.
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