Russia Matters

One Bloomberg analysis gives Moscow three years at least, barring oil shocks. And even if oil prices fall, military spending is unlikely to be cut.

The opposing sides have adopted two opposing strategies: Russians are fighting a traditional firepower-centric war of attrition; Ukraine is pursuing a terrain-focused war of maneuver. These opposing strategies are as much a product of national resour...

While advocating for Ukraine’s inclusion in NATO on the second day of WEF-2023, Kissinger prioritized “preventing the war from escalating” and from “becoming a war against Russia.”

Analysts believe the public metamorphosis is meant to keep the ex-president/ex-prime minister politically relevant and close to Russia's pro-war ruling elite.

The latest Nuclear Posture Review maintains focus on both nuclear modernization and arms control/risk reduction as essential elements of deterrence but, in a way, seems to have broadened the role of nuclear weapons.

As early as the spring, Western officials and experts have announced that Russia was running out of precision munitions, and yet Russia has continued to use scores of attack missiles well into winter.

Russia is heading toward a final battle between the radicals, for whom escalation is a way of life, and the realists, who understand that continuing to up the ante could lead to their country’s collapse.

Some declare Moscow the victor. Others claim not only that this is a “myth” but that Russia faces “economic oblivion.” Who’s right depends on the time horizon.