News

Russia Takes Strategically Important Town of Vuhledar; Stoltenberg Suggests Ukraine Bear With Territorial Loss

October 04, 2024
Plus: Russia’s MoD to decide if conditions are ripe for nuclear strike.
Analysis

How Western Curbs on Russian Oil Revenue Benefit China

Paul Saunders, Harry Stevens October 03, 2024 RM Exclusives
Western attempts to hit Russia's oil and gas industry in response to Moscow's invasion of Ukraine have saved China nearly $16 billion between March 2022 and June 2024 by purchasing Russia’s oil and fuel exports at below-market prices.
Blog

Putin's Updated Conditions for Russian Nuclear Use Are Not So New

Hans M. Kristensen September 27, 2024
Putin’s remarks were made in public, so they are intended to influence Western support of Ukraine and public opinion. Whether the adjustments will change how the Russian military would actually use nuclear weapons is another question.
News
Russia Takes Strategically Important Town of Vuhledar; Stoltenberg Suggests Ukraine Bear With Territorial Loss
October 04, 2024
Analysis
How Western Curbs on Russian Oil Revenue Benefit China
October 03, 2024
Blog
Putin's Updated Conditions for Russian Nuclear Use Are Not So New
September 27, 2024
RM Staff Picks
Analysis

Will a Ceasefire Remain Elusive? Assessing Negotiation Readiness in Russia-Ukraine War

Marat Atnashev, Arvid Bell
In the current phase of the war, the strategies of key parties—Ukraine, Russia, NATO, China and others—are predominantly shaped by their “best alternative to a negotiated agreement” (BATNA), rather than a thorough exploration of each other’s underlyi...
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Blog

Does Western Help With Missile Targeting Cross Putin’s Red Line in War Against Ukraine?

Simon Saradzhyan
According to Putin, if NATO countries help Ukraine collect and use information for strikes against targets inside Russia, it would cross one of his red lines, prompting him to escalate. However, both these things have been happening for over a year.
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Analysis

In Search of a Harris Foreign Policy

Thomas Graham
What principles would guide Kamala Harris's foreign policy decision-making—particularly on Russia, Ukraine and Eurasia—and what issues would she prioritize, if elected president? On those and related questions she has offered little grist for reflect...
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Analysis

Comparing Pathways to Peace in Ukraine

Masha Hedberg
How can the war in Ukraine end? Is a negotiated settlement possible? If so, what would it take to achieve it? This review of 25 peace proposals examines the range of options on the table and assesses their viability as effective blueprints for ending...
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Analysis

Tim Walz on Russia and Ukraine

RM Staff
What has Kamala Harris's VP pick said and done regarding Russia, Ukraine and the rest of the former post-Soviet space? Check out our compilation to find out.
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Analysis

Kamala Harris on Russia

RM Staff
What do Harris’ public words and deeds tell us about her potential policies toward Russia, Ukraine and post-Soviet Eurasia more broadly?
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Analysis

JD Vance on Russia

Aleksandra Srdanovic and RM staff
Vance, Donald Trump's VP pick, argues for an isolationist U.S. foreign policy, that Ukraine isn't a priority for the U.S. and that Russia isn't a military threat to U.S. allies in Europe.
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Analysis

From Stalemate to Settlement

Kate Davidson, Raphael Piliero, Peter Gaber and Joshua Henderson
This white paper attempts to apply history to illuminate possible paths forward. The researchers' recommendations are guidelines for policymakers if and when Ukraine decides to negotiate.
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