News

US-Russian Talks on Space Security ‘Substantive,’ But Yield No Deal; Belarus Strongman Up in Arms Over Alleged Russian Fighters Amid Regime-Change Concerns

July 31, 2020
The three-day consultations in Vienna also focused on strategic stability; in Minsk, thousands rally against President Lukashenka as his officials lob accusations at opponents and tighten borders; this and more in our weekly news round-up.
Analysis

Where US Sees Democracy Promotion, Russia Sees Regime Change

Benjamin Denison July 29, 2020 RM Exclusives
If U.S. officials were to critically assess the track record of American regime change, they might see that Russian statements against U.S. democracy promotion reflect genuine anxiety about regime security.
Analysis

Russian Moves in Afghanistan Are About Regional Stability, Not Revenge on US

Artemy M. Kalinovsky July 22, 2020 RM Exclusives
U.S. politicians may feel betrayed by Russia’s engagement with the Taliban, but to understand what Russia is up to, they need to stop imagining that Moscow’s every move is somehow intended to undermine the U.S.
News
US-Russian Talks on Space Security ‘Substantive,’ But Yield No Deal; Belarus Strongman Up in Arms Over Alleged Russian Fighters Amid Regime-Change Concerns
July 31, 2020
Analysis
Where US Sees Democracy Promotion, Russia Sees Regime Change
July 29, 2020
Analysis
Russian Moves in Afghanistan Are About Regional Stability, Not Revenge on US
July 22, 2020
RM Staff Picks
Analysis

Olga Oliker on Russia: Insights and Recommendations

RM Staff
Russia presents a critical foreign policy challenge to the U.S., "one which will be poorly served by either demonization or conciliation," writes leading Russia expert Olga Oliker. "What is needed is considered, knowledgeable and nuanced policy."
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Analysis

How Improved US-Russian Relations Could Weaken Putin’s Case for Remaining in Kremlin Until 2036

Paul Saunders
A more nuanced understanding of Putin’s possible motives for the amendments to Russia's constitution—and how the U.S. could shape them in its policy toward Russia—could facilitate Russia’s leadership transition rather than hinder it.
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Analysis

The Oil Price Crash: Will the Kremlin’s Policies Change?

Tatiana Mitrova
The coronavirus pandemic and the steep drop of oil and gas prices may pose a serious challenge to Russia’s economic model. Mitrova argues that current shocks to the Russian energy market could pale in comparison to long-term consequences.
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Analysis

Who ‘Defeated’ ISIS? An Analysis of US and Russian Contributions

Domitilla Sagramoso
There can be little doubt that the U.S. and its allies played a much bigger role in subduing the terror group than Russia. But ISIS has plenty of life in it yet and any alleged victory is fragile.
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Analysis

Do Black Lives Matter in Russia?

Peter Rutland and Andrei Kazantsev
Studying the reactions to Black Lives Matter in Russia can teach us a lot about Russian society—just as Russians and others have learned a great deal about American society as the movement has unfolded.
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Analysis

New Sanctions Challenge the Tenuous Ties Between America and Russia

Thomas Graham and Matthew Rojansky
Rather than knee-jerk calls for more sanctions, restoring channels of communication with Russia may be a prudent step to protect U.S. interests and avoid continuing miscommunication. Russia may be suffering from severe economic and demographic constr...
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Analysis

Unplugging the Baltic States: Why Russia’s Economic Approach May Be Shifting

Emily Ferris
The probability of Russia resorting to a Crimea-style intervention in the Baltics remains low. As a key energy supplier and major trading partner for the region, Russia has more to gain by using economic levers as opposed to military ones to retain i...
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Blog

Russians’ Approval and Trust for Putin Shows Slight Rebound, Although Still Below Previous Years

RM Staff
Russians’ trust and approval for Vladimir Putin has slightly increased from low points in May and April, although it is still significantly lower than in previous years, according to a new Levada Center poll.
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Analysis

Russia’s Constitutional Amendments Keep Several Futures Open for Putin

Marlene Laruelle
The aim of the amendments is to keep Putin’s—and Russia's—portfolio of possibilities as wide as possible while reinforcing Russia’s sovereignty from the international scene and the country’s self-reliance.
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Analysis

Belton: Russia’s Kleptocracy Is a Tool for Undermining the West

Lynn Berry
Through interviews with key figures, Belton sheds new light on Putin and argues that the kleptocracy of the Putin era was about far more than just lining pockets: It was about buying influence and threatening the West.
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